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- No predictions here: riffing on the future of Enterprise Social SoftwareJanuary 2
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I can’t bear to make any predictions of what is going to happen in the coming year in the world of Enterprise Social Software. Things aren’t pretty and they are going to take a long time to get better. That said, some interesting things are bound to happen this year, so I thought I would do a brain dump.
I will say this: There is going to be a lot more failure than anyone expected, and successes in places that we don’t expect or even want.
I also think that VOIP (one of those things a lot of us don’t want to have to think about) is going to be at the sharp end of change in the enterprise, possibly this year, but perhaps not, and it is going to open up a lot of opportunities for social tools. I have been using VOIP exclusively for the last 4 years, but I am just now starting to realize why it is such a big deal, and I am starting to see how software platforms need to stop ignoring it.
Video conferencing, which a lot of us continue to laugh off, is going to continue to grow at a faster rate than any other collaboration technology. Cheap displays and other hardware required will help drive this.
This all puts some of the bigger guys like CISCO in a much better position that we all might have realized before. They have the Trojan Pony.
Thinking about VOIP also gets me thinking about presence in general and Instant Messaging by extension. IM is now deeply embedded in most organizations. Blackberry Messenger, Samtime, Microsoft Messenge
- The Uncertain Future of BloggingDecember 1 2008
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I posted my thoughts on the future of blogging earlier today on the FastForwardBlog: The Uncertain Future of Blogging, and it has sparked a lot of discussion.
One interesting thing is that a lot of people read what I am saying as my saying that blogs are dying, but it is not at all what I meant to say.
- The Age of Spiritual MachinesNovember 30 2008
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In the year 2009 . . . “The United States continues to be the world’s dominant military power, which is largely accepted by the rest of the world, as most countries concentrate on economic competition.
Military conflicts between nations are rare, and most conflicts are between nations and smaller bands of terrorists.”
Ray Kurzweil wrote that in 1999, two years before September 11th and at a time when terrorism was not on the world’s radar the way it is today.
I’m not sure what it means, but the nature of so many of our systems is changing so rapidly, I am not sure what to depend on anymore.
Old models of warfare are truly broken, old models of communication are gone, media and music distribution has been gutted and left as a shadow of itself, and now we are seeing the destruction of our corporate model. I am not some poor soul hanging on to an old model, I am at the sharp end and moving forward, but so much of what I depend on is rooted in the old model, I hope it can hold on just long enough.
If a model fails at its large scale, is it worth saving on a smaller scale? If GM fails, is it a commentary on the very nature of how we do business? Most will argue no, because we have to, but the question can’t really be answered can it?
We often see things in the context that suits us best. We look at problems in ways that address our own problems, and we frame accomplishment in the light of our own needs. More than ever though
- Dear AmericaNovember 5 2008
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Thank you. This means a lot to the rest of us.
- Jevon
- In uncertain times, Enterprise 2.0 takes the stageOctober 10 2008
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For many people the positioning of Enterprise 2.0 as a cost reduction engine is not new. Complexity reduction, efficiency increases and fast response times have been the cornerstone of many Enterprise Social Software pitches in the last 5 years.
Enterprise software spending has recently crashed. Companies such as SAP, headquartered in Waldorf Germany, have recently issued earnings warnings, which illustrate how dramatically enterprise application spending has dipped in just a few weeks. These organizations can no doubt weather this storm, but with this shift, opportunity is found.